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Forum » League Progress » Matches' Arrangements » [FINAL] - Rockets | supeR,Bots vs GoD*r
[FINAL] - Rockets | supeR,Bots vs GoD*r
JonasDate: Wednesday, 2010-12-15, 2:16 PM | Message # 16
Bring it On
Group: Users
Messages: 37
Reputation: 2
lolxD
 
miDate: Wednesday, 2010-12-15, 3:23 PM | Message # 17
Bring it On
Group: Users
Messages: 26
Reputation: 5
Quote (Darkal)
There is two 100% available ; one 90% available and one 85% available

so estimated availability of Super is: (2*100%+1*90%+1*85%)/4 = 93.75%. Not bad!

and the probability that 4 best Super,Bots will play on Sunday: 1*1*0.9*0.85 = 76.5% smile

 
DarkalDate: Wednesday, 2010-12-15, 5:41 PM | Message # 18
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Wrong calculation !!!! Estimated availability is 76,5%. And not 4 best supeR,Bots ; one of bests is not available this sunday tongue

93,75% is just the average..

 
miDate: Wednesday, 2010-12-15, 6:42 PM | Message # 19
Bring it On
Group: Users
Messages: 26
Reputation: 5
lol smile for a complet - expected value (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Expected_value):
(2*100%+1*90%+1*85%) = 3.75 Super,Bot expected to show on Sunday.

but all the numbers are a joke ofc tongue

 
DarkalDate: Wednesday, 2010-12-15, 9:38 PM | Message # 20
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lol yea I understood :P

BTW, I have a nice news, for 99,9% chance we will be 4 supeR,Bots this sunday 19th at 21:00 !!

 
$t0n3rDate: Thursday, 2010-12-16, 2:10 PM | Message # 21
Hurt me Plenty
Group: Team Leaders
Messages: 66
Reputation: 9
forgot to said, i sended map wink
 
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